I’ve always received great feedback when describing the cone of uncertainty to groups on a whiteboard using events in time rather than simply an abstract timeline. Today I put a graphic together that I can easily share or refer to. Thought I’d post it for others as well. Feel free to use it and let me know what you think.
Disclaimer: All events are provided as examples which can and may occur as you work toward solving a problem. I’m not advising you to include these explicitly in your process.